It has been just over seven months now that Faleomavaega
continues to have been absent from public view.
Despite the insistence of friends, family and staff on island that he is
“doing just fine,” few are fooled by the few public appearances he has made
since suffering last October what are rumored to have been two strokes. No one is certain because his office has
provided no information on his health situation. His two video appearances (one a brief
Christmas message and the other a one-minute speech on the House Floor about
Flag Day) and two photographs (one with ASG Homeland Security Director Utuali'i Iuniasolua T. Savusa and another with
visiting Close Up Foundation students from home) seem staged and give little
reassurance to anyone back here that he is alive, well and at his duty station
in Washington.
To
the contrary, although no one knows what he is doing in Washington, people are very aware that he was not here for Flag Day last
month and now his participation in Memorial Day activities has been reduced to
his office issuing a short statement on his behalf. Readers of this blog will recall he
shamefully piggybacked on this solemn holiday three years ago to launch a partisan attack
on Republicans in Congress, which, of course, our local media carried word for
word. An obviously more subdued
Faleomavaega this year limited himself to remembrances of the war dead.
Not
only has Faleomavaega missed Flag Day and Memorial Day here this year, we have
heard from Washington sources that he also has missed countless meetings of
caucuses and committees to which he belongs.
We have monitored on line the live broadcasts of committee hearings in
which he normally would be expected to participate because of his interests, the
subject matter or his responsibilities, particularly the House insular
subcommittee, on which he is the senior Democrat, and the Asia Pacific
subcommittee, on which he is the Ranking Democrat, but we can find no one who
can say they have seen him at any hearings since last year.
Of
course, absence from hearings and meetings is nothing new for Faleomavaega, who
has shown a penchant for travel to the far corners of the earth over his
quarter century in Congress and has shown little regard for the congressional
calendar. If he wants to go, he goes,
whether Congress is in session or not.
It is doubtful any other member of Congress ever has been to Thursday Island, let alone twice, and few
have been to Rapanui, where he went to insert himself into a local land dispute. Both Thursday Island and Rapanui are parts of
larger countries (Australia and Chile, respectively) in which
he has no responsibilities in any of his committee assignments.
Recent
Foreign Affairs Committee trips to East Asia, which he long has considered his
back yard, and Ukraine were evidence that all is not well with the wandering
delegate. Although he is not on any
subcommittee with responsibility for Ukraine, as a member of the Full
Committee he would be invited and more often than not he could be counted on to
be on any Congressional delegation that wanted him. Then-Foreign Affairs subcommittee Chairman
Rep. Jim Leach (R-IA) once was reported to have said that although Faleomavaega
was annoying, he found it useful to have him around because when there was a
need to have a bipartisan delegation to qualify for military aircraft, he could
always count on Faleomavaega to sign up—no matter where they were going.
Indeed,
it must have grated Faleomavaega that Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) a freshman
congresswoman of Samoan descent who is younger than his children, has in at
least one hearing served as Ranking Democrat in Faleomavaega’s absence and was
a star on the subcommittee’s trip to Asia. More about that in a subsequent post.
Faleomavaega
has done the voters a disservice by remaining silent about his health and only
time will tell if as a political calculation it turns out to backfire on him,
should he run for re-election. That is
the question on everyone’s mind right now and it gets more and more so on every
occasion, like today, when his absence is noticed and as the July 1 date
approaches when the candidate filing period opens with the election office. Indeed, speculation over the seven months of
his absence has ranged from him being in a coma to dying of cancer.
His
movement to the House podium, albeit it slow, and his unslurred remarks to talk
about Flag Day, the video of which he was eager to distribute on the island, do
not suggest any residual physical effects of a stroke but there are credible
sources here who say the problem is mental, with Faleomavaega suffering serious
memory gaps. It is said by some that he
can be propped up for a short term photo opportunity or pointed to the
microphone to deliver a prepared short speech but cannot think very well on his
feet. Nevertheless,
although he has not publicly announced his intentions, Faleomavaega is indeed
officially a candidate in the eyes of the Federal Election Commission: he has a
functioning campaign committee and already has raised funds for this election
cycle.
Moreover, he could win, just as U.S. Rep. Gladys Spellman (D-MD) did once even though she was in a coma at the time. Indeed, Congress was in a dilemma over what to do because there is no prohibition against running while in a coma (or from behind bars, for that matter) and if the voters choose to elect someone anyway, that is their choice. It was only when she did not revive that after six months they declared her seat vacant because she was unable to take the oath of office. By the way, she remained ina coma for eight years before passing away at age 70, the same age Faleomavaega is now.
Moreover, he could win, just as U.S. Rep. Gladys Spellman (D-MD) did once even though she was in a coma at the time. Indeed, Congress was in a dilemma over what to do because there is no prohibition against running while in a coma (or from behind bars, for that matter) and if the voters choose to elect someone anyway, that is their choice. It was only when she did not revive that after six months they declared her seat vacant because she was unable to take the oath of office. By the way, she remained ina coma for eight years before passing away at age 70, the same age Faleomavaega is now.
Our local media either is not interested or is too lazy to go to the Federal Election Commission records where they would learn that Faleomavaega already has raised over $40,000 for this election cycle, which is a substantial amount for a small race like this one. Indeed, it may be more money already than any other congressional candidate ever has raised for an entire campaign here. It would not be that hard to research from FEC records.
His contributions come largely from tuna interests and people with Asian surnames, and many donations are for $2,000 or more, including one person at the maximum $2,600 allowed. Surely these folks are not just throwing money down a rat hole. Faleomavaega must be sending them a signal, probably through his chief enforcer, Lisa Williams, that he intends to run again. His congressional office chief of staff, the feared and hated Williams, also is often on his campaign payroll as a fundraiser in election years.
It
is probably the uncertainty of Faleomavaega’s intentions that are keeping most
potential candidates on the sidelines for now.
Only two people have announced their candidacies so far: ASCC employee
Fuala'au 'Rosie' Tago Lancaster, a retired army warrant officer, and the Governor’s deputy
senior policy adviser, Tua’au Kereti Mata’utia.
Both have run before and run poorly, and neither is considered much of a
threat. Lancaster has not reported to FEC
any money raised this cycle and Mata’utia has not even registered a committee
with the federal regulatory body (and did not do so last time, either, although
he is a lawyer and should know his federal obligations).
Names
of potential candidates being mentioned in the rumor mill include
Faleomavaega’s sister Vaitinasa Dr. Salu Hunkin-Finau, who is director of
Education for the government and a failed gubernatorial candidate in 2012, and
Fai’ivae Alex Godinet, who is long-time director of Faleomavaega’s district
office but has never run for office.
Both are thought to be “heirs-apparent” behind one of whom Faleomavaega conceivably
would through his weight and lend his organization, should he bow out. A third potential candidate who falls into
that category is Homeland Security Director Savusa, who not only had his photo
taken with Faleomavaega on a recent trip to Washington but has been “nominated”
by him to serve on a Pentagon committee reviewing a proposal to establish a
National Guard unit in the territory. More
about that in a later blog post. Savusa
was an unsuccessful candidate for lt. governor in 2012.
Beyond
those three potential heirs-apparent, none of whom likely would run if
Faleomavaega decided to seek re-election, speculation has centered on former governor
Togiola Tulafono, who had a contentious relationship with Faleomavaega during
his almost 10 years in office, once even publicly calling for him to retire. Togiola has not filed any paperwork with the
FEC. Finally, there is Aumua Amata
Radewagen, who has run unsuccessfully several times in the past but could be a
contender in a multi-candidate race if she could hold her base vote. Her committee remains active at FEC but she
has raised only a token $850 this cycle and while she has kept in the public
eye, she has not signaled her plans.
Whether Faleomavaega runs or not, it could be as much as a five-person
race this fall or maybe more, if one of the usual delusional loons on the
island also jumps into the contest.
We
are updating our poll to add the names of all these speculated candidates. Regrettably, this blog system’s polling app
will not allow us to modify the current poll, so we are going to have to take
it down and start over. Our apologies to
the enthusiastic Matau’tia supports who have voted him so far the overwhelming
favorite to succeed Faleomavaega. They
are just going to have to vote again in the new poll, as will the supporters of
any other candidates, if they are of a mind.
The results, of course, are entirely unscientific.
One
final note. This is the sort of
speculative or analytical article that virtually every newspaper in America—including those in the
other territories—publishes before elections.
Don’t hold your breath, however, waiting for one in our leading media: Radio 93KHJ-FM or Samoa News. In fairness, the radio station’s news format
does not lend itself well to long form analysis. Samoa News, on the other hand, does have the
capacity but simply does not carry much political news beyond a single story
about a candidate when he or she announces a candidacy. There long has been speculation in the
community that Samoa News has an unwritten policy not to carry political news
as a means of driving up revenue by forcing candidates to spend more money with
them on advertising. Shameful and unethical by most U.S. journalism standards, but
not illegal.
Speaking
of local media, they seem again to have reverted once again to publishing
Faleomavaega’s news releases without any caveats on their veracity.
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